Bomb bomb bomb, bomb bomb Iran

Via: www.ResilientCommunities.com  John Robb in a really bad mood. He believes the neocons long-desired war will happen.  The President was banging the war drums in his speech last night.  Remember, historically a war is the quickest way to get an inflation started—to inflate out our debt and beat everyone else in the super-nova of Bretton Woods to the punch.

I’ve spent a considerable amount of time over the last decade working on “what if” scenarios for the Pentagon, CIA, and NSA.

One of those scenarios, naturally, was a war with Iran (one of the world’s top oil exporting countries).

A little known conclusion of that scenario analysis was that a war with Iran greatly increased when deep sanctions were applied.

Why?  Simply:

1. Sanctions disconnect the Iranians from the global economy which soften the impact of a war with them.
2. Sanctions also accelerate societal and economic decay in Iran, making it highly likely that it would start a conflict.

The reason I’m bringing this up, is that these deep sanctions are now being put in place.

In particular, the EU is about to start a boycott Iranian oil and the Chinese are already looking for alternatives.

This means one thing:  our governments have radically increased the probability of a war with Iran.

Oh joy.

So, what does a war with Iran mean?  I could spend hours on this analysis, but most of that really would not matter to you.  What does matter is that a war with Iran will ripple through the world as energy prices zoom and economies already on the brink crump.

It will be a global train wreck, and through tight coupling, you will be along for the ride.
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So, what can you do?  Most of the advice you will get will be hedge your finances.  That’s fine, but that’s only a small part of the solution and clearly insufficient given the exposures involved.

No, what you really need to do is decouple your future from the world’s future.   To find a way to stay connected to the benefits of a huge global economy while eliminating your exposure to its downsides.

The best ways, and likely the only way, to do this is to live in a resilient community.  A community that produces most of what it needs and is not dependent on continuous support from an increasingly unstable global network.

See also:

Contrary to Widespread Claims, There Is NO EVIDENCE that Iran Is Building a Nuclear Weapon

Posted on January 25, 2012 by WashingtonsBlog

Iran Is NOT Building a Nuclear Bomb

Earlier this month, Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta said:

Are they [the Iranians] trying to develop a nuclear weapon? No. But we know that they’re trying to develop a nuclear capability. And that’s what concerns us.

Director of National Intelligence James Clapper confirmed in a Senate hearing – following the release of the classified National Intelligence Estimate in 2011 – that he has a “high level of confidence” that Iran “has not made a decision as of this point to restart its nuclear weapons program.” […]